On the heels of Law Khee Lah Summit Meeting and
coinciding with Aung San Suu Kyi’s China visit, Myanmar National
Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA), or better known as Kokang group,
issued a statement that it has decided to unilaterally imply a ceasefire
with the Burma Army (BA), due to the strong desire of China for a
peaceful border; reacting to the people’s desire of Burma’s
democratization process and to be able to conduct the national election.
It said, the decision will go into effect on 10 June, after mid-night.
According to DVB report of 11 June, Tun Myat Lin, spokesman and general
secretary of MNDAA, said: “The main reason for declaring a ceasefire
is that we don’t want to cause a delay to the ongoing nationwide peace
process. Also, we never actively attacked the government since the
beginning of the conflict, and we want everyone to know that.”
He added: “We are concerned that the conflict will hinder the
elections. We understand the general election is a crucial event for the
country, and while polling will not take place in our area, we have to
consider our ethnic brethren across the country.”
Earlier, voter registration is not being carried out in areas of Shan
State deemed to be insecure, and voting may not take place in those
areas in November, according to U Than Lwin Nyein, deputy director of
Shan State election sub-committee. The Myanmar Times reported, on 20
March 2015, that it has learned that the state election commission has
ordered its sub-commissions to omit registration in areas associated
with some ethnic armed groups.
The townships, where voter registration could not be able to start in
security-sensitive townships in the state “due to instability”, include
Laukkai and Kon-kyan in the Kokang Self-Administered Zone, Panwai
Mongma, Pangsang, Nahpan and Metman in the Wa Self-Administered
Division, and the area around Mong La in Kengtung district that is
controlled by the National Democratic Alliance Army (NDAA), also known
as Mongla.
U Than Lwin Nyein said the commission does not even have offices in
the areas and it would only conduct voter registration if the Union
Election Commission specifically instructs it to do so.
Meanwhile, the Union Election Commission’s Chairman, U Tin Aye indicated
that there is still a possibility elections could be held if the
situation improves in the Kokang self-administrated region, where
martial law is currently in place. The measure was introduced in
February following the outbreak of hostilities, according to DVB report
of 11 June 2015.
While it is not clear, why the MNDAA has initiated such a move, many
think that it is desperate to end the border wars for a couple of
reasons. The main reason could be to have a political foothold, like
those of the government recognized negotiation partner, within the bound
of Ethnic Armed Organizations (EAOs), which is involved in the ongoing
peace talks and the government is still refusing to recognize its
organization. It is essential for it is quite clear political settlement
could only be worked out through negotiations and not warfare. The
second reason is simply to show the Chinese regime and as well the
international community, that it is for peaceful settlement and in no
way, is an aggressor or warmonger. Of course, considerations to do away
with the human rights violations and sufferings of the Kokangnese,
committed by the BA, must be one of its top priority; and ceasefire and
negotiations are the only way to achieved this.
Given the Chinese nervosity and its recent military drill with
live-ammunition along the border and the timely MNDAA overtures should
be an opportunity to stop this senseless war, which is depleting the
country’s financial resources, not to mention the human toll, counted in
hundreds since the start of the war in February.
But for now it is an open question, the Union Solidarity and
Development Party-Military regime is still tight lipped and not sure on
how and if it would respond to the MNDAA overtures.